Katriona Shea

Affiliate Researcher
Titles and Affiliations
Alumni Professor, Biology

Research Summary

Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species. 

In the News

Research Keywords

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Recent Publications

Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis

Bay, C., St-Onge, G., Davis, J. T., Chinazzi, M., Howerton, E., Lessler, J., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Vespignani, A., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100748.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Climate warming increases insect-driven seed removal of two elaiosome-bearing invasive thistle species

Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Feb 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 2, e4223.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Elevated temperatures shift flower head height distributions and seed dispersal patterns in two invasive thistle species

Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Jan 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 1, e4201.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion

Howerton, E., Langkilde, T. & Shea, K., 2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Ecological Applications.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Competition reduces structural defense in an invasive thistle in the field

Lamb, R., Keller, J. & Shea, K., Mar 10 2024, In: Invasive Plant Science and Management. 17, 1, p. 17-24 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy

Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Bents, S., Carcelen, E., Jung, S. M., Bogich, T., van Panhuis, W. G., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Lessler, J., Viboud, C. & Truelove, S., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100738.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi-model study

Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Howerton, E., Chinazzi, M., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Hochheiser, H., Lovett, K., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Hulse, J. D., Kaminsky, J., & 43 othersLee, E. C., Hill, A. L., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Shea, K., Truelove, S. A., Runge, M. C., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Jan 2023, In: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas. 17, 100398.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19

Castonguay, F. M., Blackwood, J. C., Howerton, E., Shea, K., Sims, C. & Sanchirico, J. N., Dec 2023, In: Scientific reports. 13, 1, 2194.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: Aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology

Howerton, E., Runge, M. C., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Inamine, H., Lessler, J., Mullany, L. C., Probert, W. J. M., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jan 25 2023, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 20, 198, 20220659.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Mullany, L. C., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Bents, S., Borchering, R. K., Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Smith, C. P., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., van Panhuis, W. G., Hochheiser, H., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., Rainwater-Lovett, K., & 63 othersKinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Kaminsky, J., Hulse, J. D., Lee, E. C., McKee, C. D., Hill, A., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Swann, J. L., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Hladish, T., Pillai, A., Ben Toh, K., Longini, I., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Bouchnita, A., Bi, K., Lachmann, M., Fox, S. J., Meyers, L. A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Cadwell, B. L., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Dec 2023, In: Nature communications. 14, 1, 7260.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Diversity loss from multiple interacting disturbances is regime-dependent

Lear, L., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Dec 2023, In: Ecology Letters. 26, 12, p. 2056-2065 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty

Shea, K., Borchering, R. K., Probert, W. J. M., Howerton, E., Bogich, T. L., Li, S. L., van Panhuis, W. G., Viboud, C., Aguás, R., Belov, A. A., Bhargava, S. H., Cavany, S. M., Chang, J. C., Chen, C., Chen, J., Chen, S., Chen, Y. Q., Childs, L. M., Chow, C. C., Crooker, I., & 58 othersDel Valle, S. Y., España, G., Fairchild, G., Gerkin, R. C., Germann, T. C., Gu, Q., Guan, X., Guo, L., Hart, G. R., Hladish, T. J., Hupert, N., Janies, D., Kerr, C. C., Klein, D. J., Klein, E. Y., Lin, G., Manore, C., Meyers, L. A., Mittler, J. E., Mu, K., Núñez, R. C., Oidtman, R. J., Pasco, R., y Piontti, A. P., Paul, R., Pearson, C. A. B., Perdomo, D. R., Alex Perkins, T., Pierce, K., Pillai, A. N., Rael, R. C., Rosenfeld, K., Ross, C. W., Spencer, J. A., Stoltzfus, A. B., Toh, K. B., Vattikuti, S., Vespignani, A., Wang, L., White, L. J., Xu, P., Yang, Y., Yogurtcu, O. N., Zhang, W., Zhao, Y., Zou, D., Ferrari, M. J., Pannell, D., Tildesley, M. J., Seifarth, J., Johnson, E., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Slayton, R. B., Levander, J. D., Stazer, J., Kerr, J. & Runge, M. C., 2023, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120, 118, e2207537120.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Leveraging federalism for flexible and robust management of social-ecological systems

Sims, C., Armsworth, P. R., Blackwood, J., Fitzpatrick, B., Kling, D. M., Lenhart, S., Neubert, M., Papeş, M., Sanchirico, J., Shea, K. & Springborn, M., Apr 2023, In: People and Nature. 5, 2, p. 446-454 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Whole community invasions and the integration of novel ecosystems

Campbell, C., Russo, L., Albert, R., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Jun 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 6, e1010151.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey

Herrera-Diestra, J. L., Tildesley, M., Shea, K. & Ferrari, M. J., Aug 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 8, e1010354.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review