Research Summary
Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species.
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Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
Differences in adult survival drive divergent demographic responses to warming on the Tibetan Plateau
Miao, H. T., Salguero-Gómez, R., Shea, K., Keller, J. A., Zhang, Z., He, J. S. & Li, S. L., Feb 2025, In: Ecology. 106, 2, e4533.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Bay, C., St-Onge, G., Davis, J. T., Chinazzi, M., Howerton, E., Lessler, J., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Vespignani, A., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100748.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Climate warming increases insect-driven seed removal of two elaiosome-bearing invasive thistle species
Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Feb 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 2, e4223.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Elevated temperatures shift flower head height distributions and seed dispersal patterns in two invasive thistle species
Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Jan 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 1, e4201.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion
Howerton, E., Langkilde, T. & Shea, K., Jun 2024, In: Ecological Applications. 34, 4, e2974.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub
Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Carcelén, E. C., Yan, K., Bents, S. J., Levander, J., Espino, J., Lemaitre, J. C., Sato, K., McKee, C. D., Hill, A. L., Chinazzi, M., Avis, J. T., Mu, K., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T. & Rodriguez-Cartes, S. A. & 39 others, , Apr 2024, In: PLoS medicine. 21, 4 April, e1004387.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Altered biological control species interactions despite phenological synchrony along an urban–rural temperature gradient
Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jul 2024, In: Biological Invasions. 26, 7, p. 2153-2169 17 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Competition reduces structural defense in an invasive thistle in the field
Lamb, R., Keller, J. & Shea, K., Mar 10 2024, In: Invasive Plant Science and Management. 17, 1, p. 17-24 8 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy
Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Bents, S., Carcelen, E., Jung, S. M., Bogich, T., van Panhuis, W. G., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Lessler, J., Viboud, C. & Truelove, S., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100738.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design
Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Rosenstrom, E., Probert, W. J. M., Borchering, R., Marathe, M. V., Lewis, B., Venkatramanan, S., Truelove, S., Lessler, J. & Viboud, C., Jun 2024, In: Epidemics. 47, 100775.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Vivifying Outbreaks: Investigating the Influence of a Forecast Visual on Risk Perceptions, Time-Urgency, and Behavioral Intentions
Smith, R. A., Su, Y., Yan, K. & Shea, K., 2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Health Communication.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
The increase of an allelopathic and unpalatable plant undermines reindeer pasture quality and current management in the Norwegian tundra
Tuomi, M. W., Utsi, T. A., Yoccoz, N. G., Armstrong, C. W., Gonzalez, V., Hagen, S. B., Jónsdóttir, I. S., Pugnaire, F. I., Shea, K., Wardle, D. A., Zielosko, S. & Bråthen, K. A., Dec 2024, In: Communications Earth and Environment. 5, 1, 414.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting
Wade-Malone, L. K., Howerton, E., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jun 2024, In: Epidemics. 47, 100767.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi-model study
Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Howerton, E., Chinazzi, M., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Hochheiser, H., Lovett, K., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Hulse, J. D. & Kaminsky, J. & 43 others, , Jan 2023, In: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas. 17, 100398.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19
Castonguay, F. M., Blackwood, J. C., Howerton, E., Shea, K., Sims, C. & Sanchirico, J. N., Dec 2023, In: Scientific reports. 13, 1, 2194.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review