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Katriona Shea

Profile Photo
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Email
kus3@psu.edu
Telephone
(814) 865-7910

208 Mueller Lab
University Park, PA 16802

Elsevier Pure Profile
IEE Research Themes
Climate and Natural Systems
Health and the Environment
Affiliate Researcher
Titles and Affiliations
Alumni Professor, Biology

Research Summary

Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species. 

In the News

Research Keywords

 These keywords and phrases come from the publications and other research output of this person. See other researchers related to these topics by clicking on any keyword.

Carduus Nutans
Carduus
Carduus Acanthoides
Invasive Species
Seed
Uncertainty
Introduced Species
Disease Outbreaks
Pollinator
Seeds
Disturbance
Life History
Pollinators
Rhinocyllus Conicus
Pest Control
Population Growth
Seed Dispersal
Biocontrol Agent
Insect
Population

Recent Publications

Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis

Bay, C., St-Onge, G., Davis, J. T., Chinazzi, M., Howerton, E., Lessler, J., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Vespignani, A., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100748.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Climate warming increases insect-driven seed removal of two elaiosome-bearing invasive thistle species

Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Feb 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 2, e4223.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Elevated temperatures shift flower head height distributions and seed dispersal patterns in two invasive thistle species

Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Jan 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 1, e4201.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion

Howerton, E., Langkilde, T. & Shea, K., Jun 2024, In: Ecological Applications. 34, 4, e2974.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub

Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Carcelén, E. C., Yan, K., Bents, S. J., Levander, J., Espino, J., Lemaitre, J. C., Sato, K., McKee, C. D., Hill, A. L., Chinazzi, M., Avis, J. T., Mu, K., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T. & Rodriguez-Cartes, S. A. & 39 others, Vy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Swann, J. L., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S. M., Perkins, T. A., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, A., Thill, J. C., Srivastava, A., Aawar, M. A., Bi, K., Bandekar, S. R., Bouchnita, A., Fox, S. J., Meyers, L. A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Hurt, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, U., Vullikanti, A., Lewis, B., Marathe, M., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Apr 2024, In: PLoS medicine. 21, 4 April, e1004387.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Altered biological control species interactions despite phenological synchrony along an urban–rural temperature gradient

Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jul 2024, In: Biological Invasions. 26, 7, p. 2153-2169 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Competition reduces structural defense in an invasive thistle in the field

Lamb, R., Keller, J. & Shea, K., Mar 10 2024, In: Invasive Plant Science and Management. 17, 1, p. 17-24 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy

Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Bents, S., Carcelen, E., Jung, S. M., Bogich, T., van Panhuis, W. G., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Lessler, J., Viboud, C. & Truelove, S., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100738.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting

Wade-Malone, L. K., Howerton, E., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jun 2024, In: Epidemics. 47, 100767.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi-model study

Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Howerton, E., Chinazzi, M., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Hochheiser, H., Lovett, K., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Hulse, J. D. & Kaminsky, J. & 43 others, Lee, E. C., Hill, A. L., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Shea, K., Truelove, S. A., Runge, M. C., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Jan 2023, In: The Lancet Regional Health - Americas. 17, 100398.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19

Castonguay, F. M., Blackwood, J. C., Howerton, E., Shea, K., Sims, C. & Sanchirico, J. N., Dec 2023, In: Scientific reports. 13, 1, 2194.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: Aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology

Howerton, E., Runge, M. C., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Inamine, H., Lessler, J., Mullany, L. C., Probert, W. J. M., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jan 25 2023, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 20, 198, 20220659.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Mullany, L. C., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Bents, S., Borchering, R. K., Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Smith, C. P., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., van Panhuis, W. G., Hochheiser, H., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J. & Rainwater-Lovett, K. & 63 others, Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Kaminsky, J., Hulse, J. D., Lee, E. C., McKee, C. D., Hill, A., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Swann, J. L., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Hladish, T., Pillai, A., Ben Toh, K., Longini, I., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Bouchnita, A., Bi, K., Lachmann, M., Fox, S. J., Meyers, L. A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Cadwell, B. L., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Dec 2023, In: Nature communications. 14, 1, 7260.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Diversity loss from multiple interacting disturbances is regime-dependent

Lear, L., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Dec 2023, In: Ecology Letters. 26, 12, p. 2056-2065 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty

Shea, K., Borchering, R. K., Probert, W. J. M., Howerton, E., Bogich, T. L., Li, S. L., van Panhuis, W. G., Viboud, C., Aguás, R., Belov, A. A., Bhargava, S. H., Cavany, S. M., Chang, J. C., Chen, C., Chen, J., Chen, S., Chen, Y. Q., Childs, L. M., Chow, C. C. & Crooker, I. & 58 others, Del Valle, S. Y., España, G., Fairchild, G., Gerkin, R. C., Germann, T. C., Gu, Q., Guan, X., Guo, L., Hart, G. R., Hladish, T. J., Hupert, N., Janies, D., Kerr, C. C., Klein, D. J., Klein, E. Y., Lin, G., Manore, C., Meyers, L. A., Mittler, J. E., Mu, K., Núñez, R. C., Oidtman, R. J., Pasco, R., y Piontti, A. P., Paul, R., Pearson, C. A. B., Perdomo, D. R., Alex Perkins, T., Pierce, K., Pillai, A. N., Rael, R. C., Rosenfeld, K., Ross, C. W., Spencer, J. A., Stoltzfus, A. B., Toh, K. B., Vattikuti, S., Vespignani, A., Wang, L., White, L. J., Xu, P., Yang, Y., Yogurtcu, O. N., Zhang, W., Zhao, Y., Zou, D., Ferrari, M. J., Pannell, D., Tildesley, M. J., Seifarth, J., Johnson, E., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Slayton, R. B., Levander, J. D., Stazer, J., Kerr, J. & Runge, M. C., 2023, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120, 118, e2207537120.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review