Katriona Shea

Affiliate Researcher
Titles and Affiliations
Alumni Professor, Biology

Research Summary

Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species. 

In the News

Research Keywords

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Recent Publications

Elevated temperatures shift flower head height distributions and seed dispersal patterns in two invasive thistle species

Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Jan 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 1, e4201.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi-model study

Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Howerton, E., Chinazzi, M., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Hochheiser, H., Lovett, K., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Hulse, J. D., Kaminsky, J., & 43 othersLee, E. C., Hill, A. L., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Shea, K., Truelove, S. A., Runge, M. C., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Jan 2023, In: Lancet Regional Health - Americas. 17, 100398.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Optimal spatial evaluation of a pro rata vaccine distribution rule for COVID-19

Castonguay, F. M., Blackwood, J. C., Howerton, E., Shea, K., Sims, C. & Sanchirico, J. N., Dec 2023, In: Scientific reports. 13, 1, 2194.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: Aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology

Howerton, E., Runge, M. C., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Inamine, H., Lessler, J., Mullany, L. C., Probert, W. J. M., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jan 25 2023, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 20, 198, 20220659.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Mullany, L. C., Qin, M., Reich, N. G., Bents, S., Borchering, R. K., Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Smith, C. P., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Espino, J., van Panhuis, W. G., Hochheiser, H., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., Rainwater-Lovett, K., & 63 othersKinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Lemaitre, J. C., Kaminsky, J., Hulse, J. D., Lee, E. C., McKee, C. D., Hill, A., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T., Ivy, J. S., Mayorga, M. E., Swann, J. L., España, G., Cavany, S., Moore, S., Perkins, A., Hladish, T., Pillai, A., Ben Toh, K., Longini, I., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Bouchnita, A., Bi, K., Lachmann, M., Fox, S. J., Meyers, L. A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Mortveit, H., Wilson, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Cadwell, B. L., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Johansson, M. A., Biggerstaff, M., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Viboud, C. & Lessler, J., Dec 2023, In: Nature communications. 14, 1, 7260.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Diversity loss from multiple interacting disturbances is regime-dependent

Lear, L., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Dec 2023, In: Ecology Letters. 26, 12, p. 2056-2065 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty

Shea, K., Borchering, R. K., Probert, W. J. M., Howerton, E., Bogich, T. L., Li, S. L., van Panhuis, W. G., Viboud, C., Aguás, R., Belov, A. A., Bhargava, S. H., Cavany, S. M., Chang, J. C., Chen, C., Chen, J., Chen, S., Chen, Y. Q., Childs, L. M., Chow, C. C., Crooker, I., & 58 othersDel Valle, S. Y., España, G., Fairchild, G., Gerkin, R. C., Germann, T. C., Gu, Q., Guan, X., Guo, L., Hart, G. R., Hladish, T. J., Hupert, N., Janies, D., Kerr, C. C., Klein, D. J., Klein, E. Y., Lin, G., Manore, C., Meyers, L. A., Mittler, J. E., Mu, K., Núñez, R. C., Oidtman, R. J., Pasco, R., y Piontti, A. P., Paul, R., Pearson, C. A. B., Perdomo, D. R., Alex Perkins, T., Pierce, K., Pillai, A. N., Rael, R. C., Rosenfeld, K., Ross, C. W., Spencer, J. A., Stoltzfus, A. B., Toh, K. B., Vattikuti, S., Vespignani, A., Wang, L., White, L. J., Xu, P., Yang, Y., Yogurtcu, O. N., Zhang, W., Zhao, Y., Zou, D., Ferrari, M. J., Pannell, D., Tildesley, M. J., Seifarth, J., Johnson, E., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Slayton, R. B., Levander, J. D., Stazer, J., Kerr, J. & Runge, M. C., 2023, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120, 118, e2207537120.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Leveraging federalism for flexible and robust management of social-ecological systems

Sims, C., Armsworth, P. R., Blackwood, J., Fitzpatrick, B., Kling, D. M., Lenhart, S., Neubert, M., Papeş, M., Sanchirico, J., Shea, K. & Springborn, M., Apr 2023, In: People and Nature. 5, 2, p. 446-454 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Whole community invasions and the integration of novel ecosystems

Campbell, C., Russo, L., Albert, R., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Jun 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 6, e1010151.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey

Herrera-Diestra, J. L., Tildesley, M., Shea, K. & Ferrari, M. J., Aug 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 8, e1010354.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Pulse and Press Disturbances Have Different Effects on Transient Community Dynamics

Inamine, H., Miller, A., Roxburgh, S., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Oct 2022, In: American Naturalist. 200, 4, p. 571-583 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Pest management in future climates: Warming reduces physical weed management effectiveness

Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2633.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Disturbance-mediated invasions are dependent on community resource abundance

Lear, L., Padfield, D., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Aug 2022, In: Ecology. 103, 8, e3728.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Optimizing management of invasions in an uncertain world using dynamic spatial models

Pepin, K. M., Davis, A. J., Epanchin-Niell, R. S., Gormley, A. M., Moore, J. L., Smyser, T. J., Shaffer, H. B., Kendall, W. L., Shea, K., Runge, M. C. & McKee, S., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2628.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models

Probert, W. J. M., Nicol, S., Ferrari, M. J., Li, S. L., Shea, K., Tildesley, M. J. & Runge, M. C., Oct 3 2022, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 380, 2233, 20210314.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review