Research Summary
Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species.
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Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
Allocating limited surveillance effort for outbreak detection of endemic foot and mouth disease
Greiner, A., Herrera-Diestra, J. L., Tildesley, M., Shea, K. & Ferrari, M., Jul 2025, In: PLoS computational biology. 21, 7 July, e1012395.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025
Loo, S. L., Jung, S. M., Contamin, L., Howerton, E., Bents, S. J., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Smith, C. P., Carcelén, E. C., Yan, K., Lemaitre, J. C., Przykucki, E., McKee, C. D., Sato, K., Hill, A. L., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Bay, C., Vespignani, A. & Chen, S. & 24 others, , Sep 2 2025, In: JAMA network open. 8, 9, p. e2532469Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Differences in adult survival drive divergent demographic responses to warming on the Tibetan Plateau
Miao, H. T., Salguero-Gómez, R., Shea, K., Keller, J. A., Zhang, Z., He, J. S. & Li, S. L., Feb 2025, In: Ecology. 106, 2, e4533.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Repeated thermal stress exposure in Aedes aegypti co-infected with Wolbachia and dengue virus
Ser, S. L., Ware-Gilmore, F., Dennington, N. L., Miller, A., McNulty, B. P., Harris, M. L., Jones, M. J., Hall, M. D., Sgrò, C. M., Shea, K. & McGraw, E. A., Oct 29 2025, In: mSphere. 10, 10, p. e0012925Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Seedling size affects the strategy of dune seedlings responding to rainfall variation
Shen-Tu, X. L., Hu, Y. K., Shea, K., Gascoigne, S. J. L., Wei, Q., Tang, L. C., Li, D. D. & Li, S. L., May 9 2025, In: Annals of botany. 135, 6, p. 1125-1134 10 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Vivifying Outbreaks: Investigating the Influence of a Forecast Visual on Risk Perceptions, Time-Urgency, and Behavioral Intentions
Smith, R. A., Su, Y., Yan, K. & Shea, K., 2025, In: Health Communication. 40, 7, p. 1289-1299 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Ensemble2: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis
Bay, C., St-Onge, G., Davis, J. T., Chinazzi, M., Howerton, E., Lessler, J., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Truelove, S., Viboud, C. & Vespignani, A., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100748.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Climate warming increases insect-driven seed removal of two elaiosome-bearing invasive thistle species
Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Feb 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 2, e4223.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Elevated temperatures shift flower head height distributions and seed dispersal patterns in two invasive thistle species
Drees, T. H. & Shea, K., Jan 2024, In: Ecology. 105, 1, e4201.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion
Howerton, E., Langkilde, T. & Shea, K., Jun 2024, In: Ecological Applications. 34, 4, e2974.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub
Jung, S. M., Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Carcelén, E. C., Yan, K., Bents, S. J., Levander, J., Espino, J., Lemaitre, J. C., Sato, K., McKee, C. D., Hill, A. L., Chinazzi, M., Avis, J. T., Mu, K., Vespignani, A., Rosenstrom, E. T. & Rodriguez-Cartes, S. A. & 39 others, , Apr 2024, In: PLoS medicine. 21, 4 April, e1004387.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Altered biological control species interactions despite phenological synchrony along an urban–rural temperature gradient
Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jul 2024, In: Biological Invasions. 26, 7, p. 2153-2169 17 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Competition reduces structural defense in an invasive thistle in the field
Lamb, R., Keller, J. & Shea, K., Mar 10 2024, In: Invasive Plant Science and Management. 17, 1, p. 17-24 8 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy
Loo, S. L., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Smith, C. P., Borchering, R. K., Mullany, L. C., Bents, S., Carcelen, E., Jung, S. M., Bogich, T., van Panhuis, W. G., Kerr, J., Espino, J., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Lessler, J., Viboud, C. & Truelove, S., Mar 2024, In: Epidemics. 46, 100738.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design
Runge, M. C., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Yan, K., Hochheiser, H., Rosenstrom, E., Probert, W. J. M., Borchering, R., Marathe, M. V., Lewis, B., Venkatramanan, S., Truelove, S., Lessler, J. & Viboud, C., Jun 2024, In: Epidemics. 47, 100775.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review