
Research Summary
Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species.
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Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling
Swallow, B., Birrell, P., Blake, J., Burgman, M., Challenor, P., Coffeng, L. E., Dawid, P., De Angelis, D., Goldstein, M., Hemming, V., Marion, G., McKinley, T. J., Overton, C. E., Panovska-Griffiths, J., Pellis, L., Probert, W., Shea, K., Villela, D. & Vernon, I., Mar 2022, In: Epidemics. 38, 100547.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Author Correction: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics (Nature Methods, (2020), 17, 6, (557-558), 10.1038/s41592-020-0856-2)
Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., Mar 2021, In: Nature methods. 18, 3, p. 321 1 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › peer-review
Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives
Blackwood, J. C., Malakhov, M. M., Duan, J., Pellett, J. J., Phadke, I. S., Lenhart, S., Sims, C. & Shea, K., Dec 2021, In: BMC Public Health. 21, 1, 1782.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021
Borchering, R. K., Viboud, C., Howerton, E., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Salerno, J., Panhuis, W. V., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Obrecht, R. F., Asher, L., Costello, C., Kelbaugh, M., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Gallagher, M. E., & 40 others , 2021, In: MMWR Recommendations and Reports. 70, 19, p. 719-724 6 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing
Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Oct 2021, In: PLoS computational biology. 17, 10, e1009518.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Warming and shifting phenology accelerate an invasive plant life cycle
Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jan 2021, In: Ecology. 102, 1, e03219.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management
Li, S. L., Keller, J., Runge, M. C. & Shea, K., Aug 2021, In: Journal of Applied Ecology. 58, 8, p. 1621-1630 10 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
How disturbance history alters invasion success: biotic legacies and regime change
Miller, A. D., Inamine, H., Buckling, A., Roxburgh, S. H. & Shea, K., Apr 2021, In: Ecology Letters. 24, 4, p. 687-697 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making
Nichols, J. D., Bogich, T. L., Howerton, E., Bjørnstad, O. N., Borchering, R. K., Ferrari, M., Haran, M., Jewell, C., Pepin, K. M., Probert, W. J. M., Pulliam, J. R. C., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jun 2021, In: PLoS biology. 19, 6, e3001307.Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review
Analyzing How Changes in the Health Status of Healthcare Workers Affects Epidemic Outcomes
Phadke, I., McKee, A., Conway, J. M. & Shea, K., 2021, (Accepted/In press) In: Epidemiology and Infection. p. 1-27 27 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Political economy of renewable resource federalism
Sanchirico, J. N., Blackwood, J. C., Fitzpatrick, B., Kling, D. M., Lenhart, S., Neubert, M. G., Shea, K., Sims, C. B. & Springborn, M. R., Apr 2021, In: Ecological Applications. 31, 3, e02276.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Duration and timing interactions of early-life stress and the potential for recovery
Seifarth, J., Inamine, H., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Jul 2021, In: Ecosphere. 12, 7, e03620.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Oviposition response of the biocontrol agent Rhinocyllus conicus to resource distribution in its invasive host, Carduus nutans
Sezen, Z., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Shea, K., Jan 2021, In: Biological Control. 152, 104369.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Causes of delayed outbreak responses and their impacts on epidemic spread
Tao, Y., Probert, W. J. M., Shea, K., Runge, M. C., Lafferty, K., Tildesley, M. & Ferrari, M., Mar 1 2021, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 18, 176, 20200933.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Microbes increase thermal sensitivity in the mosquito aedes aegypti, with the potential to change disease distributions
Ware-Gilmore, F., Sgrò, C. M., Xi, Z., Dutra, H. L. C., Jones, M. J., Shea, K., Hall, M. D., Thomas, M. B. & McGraw, E. A., Jul 2021, In: PLoS neglected tropical diseases. 15, 7, e0009548.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review