Research Summary
Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species.
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Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
Whole community invasions and the integration of novel ecosystems
Campbell, C., Russo, L., Albert, R., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Jun 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 6, e1010151.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Pest management in future climates: Warming reduces physical weed management effectiveness
Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2633.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Disturbance-mediated invasions are dependent on community resource abundance
Lear, L., Padfield, D., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Aug 2022, In: Ecology. 103, 8, e3728.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Optimizing management of invasions in an uncertain world using dynamic spatial models
Pepin, K. M., Davis, A. J., Epanchin-Niell, R. S., Gormley, A. M., Moore, J. L., Smyser, T. J., Shaffer, H. B., Kendall, W. L., Shea, K., Runge, M. C. & McKee, S., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2628.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models
Probert, W. J. M., Nicol, S., Ferrari, M. J., Li, S. L., Shea, K., Tildesley, M. J. & Runge, M. C., Oct 3 2022, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 380, 2233, 20210314.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling
Reich, N. G., Lessler, J., Funk, S., Viboud, C., Vespignani, A., Tibshirani, R. J., Shea, K., Schienle, M., Runge, M. C., Rosenfeld, R., Ray, E. L., Niehus, R., Johnson, H. C., Johansson, M. A., Hochheiser, H., Gardner, L., Bracher, J., Borchering, R. K. & Biggerstaff, M., Jun 2022, In: American journal of public health. 112, 6, p. 839-842 4 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling
Swallow, B., Birrell, P., Blake, J., Burgman, M., Challenor, P., Coffeng, L. E., Dawid, P., De Angelis, D., Goldstein, M., Hemming, V., Marion, G., McKinley, T. J., Overton, C. E., Panovska-Griffiths, J., Pellis, L., Probert, W., Shea, K., Villela, D. & Vernon, I., Mar 2022, In: Epidemics. 38, 100547.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination
Truelove, S., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Mullany, L. C., Borchering, R. K., Lessler, J., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Hochheiser, H., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Rainwater-Lovett, K., Lemairtre, J. C., Dent, J., Kaminsky, J., & 40 others, Jun 2022, In: eLife. 11, e73584.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Author Correction: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics (Nature Methods, (2020), 17, 6, (557-558), 10.1038/s41592-020-0856-2)
Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., Mar 2021, In: Nature methods. 18, 3, p. 321 1 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › peer-review
Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives
Blackwood, J. C., Malakhov, M. M., Duan, J., Pellett, J. J., Phadke, I. S., Lenhart, S., Sims, C. & Shea, K., Dec 2021, In: BMC Public Health. 21, 1, 1782.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021
Borchering, R. K., Viboud, C., Howerton, E., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Salerno, J., Panhuis, W. V., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Obrecht, R. F., Asher, L., Costello, C., Kelbaugh, M., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Gallagher, M. E., & 40 others, 2021, In: MMWR Recommendations and Reports. 70, 19, p. 719-724 6 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing
Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Oct 2021, In: PLoS computational biology. 17, 10, e1009518.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Warming and shifting phenology accelerate an invasive plant life cycle
Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jan 2021, In: Ecology. 102, 1, e03219.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management
Li, S. L., Keller, J., Runge, M. C. & Shea, K., Aug 2021, In: Journal of Applied Ecology. 58, 8, p. 1621-1630 10 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
How disturbance history alters invasion success: biotic legacies and regime change
Miller, A. D., Inamine, H., Buckling, A., Roxburgh, S. H. & Shea, K., Apr 2021, In: Ecology Letters. 24, 4, p. 687-697 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review