Katriona Shea

Affiliate Researcher
Titles and Affiliations
Alumni Professor, Biology

Research Summary

Research interest is in the use of ecological theory, particularly life history-based models, in population management. She addresses issues in conservation, harvesting and the control of invasive species. 

In the News

Research Keywords

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Recent Publications

Whole community invasions and the integration of novel ecosystems

Campbell, C., Russo, L., Albert, R., Buckling, A. & Shea, K., Jun 2022, In: PLoS computational biology. 18, 6, e1010151.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Pest management in future climates: Warming reduces physical weed management effectiveness

Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2633.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Disturbance-mediated invasions are dependent on community resource abundance

Lear, L., Padfield, D., Inamine, H., Shea, K. & Buckling, A., Aug 2022, In: Ecology. 103, 8, e3728.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Optimizing management of invasions in an uncertain world using dynamic spatial models

Pepin, K. M., Davis, A. J., Epanchin-Niell, R. S., Gormley, A. M., Moore, J. L., Smyser, T. J., Shaffer, H. B., Kendall, W. L., Shea, K., Runge, M. C. & McKee, S., Sep 2022, In: Ecological Applications. 32, 6, e2628.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models

Probert, W. J. M., Nicol, S., Ferrari, M. J., Li, S. L., Shea, K., Tildesley, M. J. & Runge, M. C., Oct 3 2022, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 380, 2233, 20210314.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling

Reich, N. G., Lessler, J., Funk, S., Viboud, C., Vespignani, A., Tibshirani, R. J., Shea, K., Schienle, M., Runge, M. C., Rosenfeld, R., Ray, E. L., Niehus, R., Johnson, H. C., Johansson, M. A., Hochheiser, H., Gardner, L., Bracher, J., Borchering, R. K. & Biggerstaff, M., Jun 2022, In: American journal of public health. 112, 6, p. 839-842 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling

Swallow, B., Birrell, P., Blake, J., Burgman, M., Challenor, P., Coffeng, L. E., Dawid, P., De Angelis, D., Goldstein, M., Hemming, V., Marion, G., McKinley, T. J., Overton, C. E., Panovska-Griffiths, J., Pellis, L., Probert, W., Shea, K., Villela, D. & Vernon, I., Mar 2022, In: Epidemics. 38, 100547.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Truelove, S., Smith, C. P., Qin, M., Mullany, L. C., Borchering, R. K., Lessler, J., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Kerr, J., Hochheiser, H., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Rainwater-Lovett, K., Lemairtre, J. C., Dent, J., Kaminsky, J., & 40 othersLee, E. C., Perez-Saez, J., Hill, A., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Piontti, A. P. Y., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Orr, M., Harrison, G., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Vullikanti, A., Marathe, M., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J. C., Galanti, M., Yamana, T. K., Pei, S., Shaman, J. L., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Runge, M. C. & Viboud, C., Jun 2022, In: eLife. 11, e73584.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Author Correction: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics (Nature Methods, (2020), 17, 6, (557-558), 10.1038/s41592-020-0856-2)

Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., Mar 2021, In: Nature methods. 18, 3, p. 321 1 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debatepeer-review

Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives

Blackwood, J. C., Malakhov, M. M., Duan, J., Pellett, J. J., Phadke, I. S., Lenhart, S., Sims, C. & Shea, K., Dec 2021, In: BMC Public Health. 21, 1, 1782.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021

Borchering, R. K., Viboud, C., Howerton, E., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Reich, N. G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Salerno, J., Panhuis, W. V., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Obrecht, R. F., Asher, L., Costello, C., Kelbaugh, M., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Gallagher, M. E., & 40 othersMullany, L. C., Rainwater-Lovett, K., Lemaitre, J. C., ScM, J. D., Grantz, K. H., Kaminsky, J., Lauer, S. A., Lee, E. C., Meredith, H. R., Perez-Saez, J., Keegan, L. T., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Piontti, A. P. Y., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Schlitt, J., Corbett, P., Telionis, P. A., Wang, L., Peddireddy, A. S., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Vullikanti, A., Marathe, M., Healy, J. M., Slayton, R. B., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Shea, K. & Lessler, J., 2021, In: MMWR Recommendations and Reports. 70, 19, p. 719-724 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing

Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Oct 2021, In: PLoS computational biology. 17, 10, e1009518.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Warming and shifting phenology accelerate an invasive plant life cycle

Keller, J. A. & Shea, K., Jan 2021, In: Ecology. 102, 1, e03219.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management

Li, S. L., Keller, J., Runge, M. C. & Shea, K., Aug 2021, In: Journal of Applied Ecology. 58, 8, p. 1621-1630 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

How disturbance history alters invasion success: biotic legacies and regime change

Miller, A. D., Inamine, H., Buckling, A., Roxburgh, S. H. & Shea, K., Apr 2021, In: Ecology Letters. 24, 4, p. 687-697 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review