Research Summary
Population ecology and population dynamics with particular emphasis on mathematical and computational aspects; disease ecology and biology; outbreak and persistence of infectious disease.
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Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
How to avoid a local epidemic becoming a global pandemic
Stenseth, N. C., Schlatte, R., Liu, X., Pielke, R., Li, R., Chen, B., Bjørnstad, O. N., Kusnezov, D., Gao, G. F., Fraser, C., Whittington, J. D., Bai, Y., Deng, K., Gong, P., Guan, D., Xiao, Y., Xu, B. & Johnsen, E. B., Mar 7 2023, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120, 10, e2220080120.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Supply chains create global benefits from improved vaccine accessibility
Wang, D., Bjørnstad, O. N., Lei, T., Sun, Y., Huo, J., Hao, Q., Zeng, Z., Zhu, S., Hallegatte, S., Li, R., Guan, D. & Stenseth, N. C., Dec 2023, In: Nature communications. 14, 1, 1569.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
An integrated experimental and mathematical approach to inferring the role of food exploitation and interference interactions in shaping life history
Joncour, B., Nelson, W. A., Pak, D. & Bjørnstad, O. N., May 2022, In: Functional Ecology. 36, 5, p. 1098-1112 15 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Incorporating diapause to predict the interannual dynamics of an important agricultural pest
Pak, D., Carran, S., Biddinger, D., Nelson, B. & Bjørnstad, O. N., Jul 2022, In: Population Ecology. 64, 3, p. 267-279 13 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Assessing the asymptomatic proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infection with age in China before mass vaccination
Wang, Z., Wu, P., Wang, J., Lourenço, J., Li, B., Rader, B., Laine, M., Miao, H., Wang, L., Song, H., Bharti, N., Brownstein, J. S., Bjornstad, O. N., Dye, C. & Tian, H., Oct 12 2022, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 19, 195, 20220498.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Author Correction: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics (Nature Methods, (2020), 17, 6, (557-558), 10.1038/s41592-020-0856-2)
Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., Mar 2021, In: Nature methods. 18, 3, p. 321 1 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › peer-review
The ecological dynamics of the coronavirus epidemics during transmission from outside sources when R 0 is successfully managed below one
Engen, S., Tian, H., Yang, R., Bjørnstad, O. N., Whittington, J. D. & Stenseth, N. C., Jun 9 2021, In: Royal Society Open Science. 8, 6, 202234.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing
Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Oct 2021, In: PLoS computational biology. 17, 10, e1009518.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Immunological characteristics govern the transition of COVID-19 to endemicity
Lavine, J. S., Bjornstad, O. N. & Antia, R., Feb 12 2021, In: Science. 371, 6530, eabe6522.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Vaccinating children against SARS-CoV-2
Lavine, J. S., Bjornstad, O. & Antia, R., May 13 2021, In: The BMJ. 373, n1197.Research output: Contribution to journal › Editorial › peer-review
A general model for the demographic signatures of the transition from pandemic emergence to endemicity
Li, R., Metcalf, C. J. E., Stenseth, N. C. & Bjørnstad, O. N., Aug 2021, In: Science Advances. 7, 33, eabf9040.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Prioritizing vaccination by age and social activity to advance societal health benefits in Norway: a modelling study
Li, R., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Stenseth, N. C., Nov 2021, In: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe. 10, 100200.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Switching vaccination among target groups to achieve improved long-lasting benefits
Li, R., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Stenseth, N. C., Jun 16 2021, In: Royal Society Open Science. 8, 6, 210292.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Associations between changes in population mobility in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and socioeconomic factors at the city level in China and country level worldwide: a retrospective, observational study
Liu, Y., Wang, Z., Rader, B., Li, B., Wu, C. H., Whittington, J. D., Zheng, P., Stenseth, N. C., Bjornstad, O. N., Brownstein, J. S. & Tian, H., Jun 2021, In: The Lancet Digital Health. 3, 6, p. e349-e359Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making
Nichols, J. D., Bogich, T. L., Howerton, E., Bjørnstad, O. N., Borchering, R. K., Ferrari, M., Haran, M., Jewell, C., Pepin, K. M., Probert, W. J. M., Pulliam, J. R. C., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., Jun 2021, In: PLoS biology. 19, 6, e3001307.Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review