Research Summary
Population ecology and population dynamics with particular emphasis on mathematical and computational aspects; disease ecology and biology; outbreak and persistence of infectious disease.Research Keywords
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Recent Publications
Modeling infectious epidemics
Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., May 1 2020, In: Nature methods. 17, 5, p. 455-456 2 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › peer-review
The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics
Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N., Jun 1 2020, In: Nature methods. 17, 6, p. 557-558 2 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Identifying age cohorts responsible for peste des petits ruminants virus transmission among sheep, goats, and cattle in northern Tanzania
Herzog, C. M., de Glanville, W. A., Willett, B. J., Cattadori, I. M., Kapur, V., Hudson, P. J., Buza, J., Swai, E. S., Cleaveland, S. & Bjørnstad, O. N., 2020, In: Viruses. 12, 2, 186.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
A competing-risks model explains hierarchical spatial coupling of measles epidemics en route to national elimination
Lau, M. S. Y., Becker, A. D., Korevaar, H. M., Caudron, Q., Shaw, D. J., Metcalf, C. J. E., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., Jul 1 2020, In: Nature Ecology and Evolution. 4, 7, p. 934-939 6 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China
Tian, H., Liu, Y., Li, Y., Wu, C. H., Chen, B., Kraemer, M. U. G., Li, B., Cai, J., Xu, B., Yang, Q., Wang, B., Yang, P., Cui, Y., Song, Y., Zheng, P., Wang, Q., Bjornstad, O. N., Yang, R., Grenfell, B. T., Pybus, O. G. & 1 others, , May 8 2020, In: Science. 368, 6491, p. 638-642 5 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Long-term dynamics of measles in London: Titrating the impact of wars, the 1918 pandemic, and vaccination
Becker, A. D., Wesolowski, A., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., 2019, In: PLoS computational biology. 15, 9, e1007305.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Quantifying spatio-temporal variation of invasion spread
Goldstein, J., Park, J., Haran, M., Liebhold, A. & Bjørnstad, O. N., Jan 16 2019, In: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 286, 1894, 2294.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Pastoral production is associated with increased peste des petits ruminants seroprevalence in northern Tanzania across sheep, goats and cattle
Herzog, C. M., de Glanville, W. A., Willett, B. J., Kibona, T. J., Cattadori, I. M., Kapur, V., Hudson, P. J., Buza, J., Cleaveland, S. & Bjørnstad, O. N., 2019, In: Epidemiology and Infection. 147, e242.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States
Kissler, S. M., Gog, J. R., Viboud, C., Charu, V., Bjørnstad, O. N., Simonsen, L. & Grenfell, B. T., Mar 2019, In: Epidemics. 26, p. 86-94 9 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue
Li, R., Xu, L., Bjørnstad, O. N., Liu, K., Song, T., Chen, A., Xu, B., Liu, Q. & Stenseth, N. C., Feb 26 2019, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 116, 9, p. 3624-3629 6 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review