Ottar Bjornstad

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Affiliate Researcher
Titles and Affiliations
Distinguished Professor, Entomology

Research Summary

Population ecology and population dynamics with particular emphasis on mathematical and computational aspects; disease ecology and biology; outbreak and persistence of infectious disease.

Research Keywords

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Recent Publications

Modeling infectious epidemics

Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. S., May 1 2020, In: Nature methods. 17, 5, p. 455-456 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debatepeer-review

The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics

Bjørnstad, O. N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N., Jun 1 2020, In: Nature methods. 17, 6, p. 557-558 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Identifying age cohorts responsible for peste des petits ruminants virus transmission among sheep, goats, and cattle in northern Tanzania

Herzog, C. M., de Glanville, W. A., Willett, B. J., Cattadori, I. M., Kapur, V., Hudson, P. J., Buza, J., Swai, E. S., Cleaveland, S. & Bjørnstad, O. N., 2020, In: Viruses. 12, 2, 186.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

A competing-risks model explains hierarchical spatial coupling of measles epidemics en route to national elimination

Lau, M. S. Y., Becker, A. D., Korevaar, H. M., Caudron, Q., Shaw, D. J., Metcalf, C. J. E., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., Jul 1 2020, In: Nature Ecology and Evolution. 4, 7, p. 934-939 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China

Tian, H., Liu, Y., Li, Y., Wu, C. H., Chen, B., Kraemer, M. U. G., Li, B., Cai, J., Xu, B., Yang, Q., Wang, B., Yang, P., Cui, Y., Song, Y., Zheng, P., Wang, Q., Bjornstad, O. N., Yang, R., Grenfell, B. T., Pybus, O. G. & 1 others, Dye, C., May 8 2020, In: Science. 368, 6491, p. 638-642 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Long-term dynamics of measles in London: Titrating the impact of wars, the 1918 pandemic, and vaccination

Becker, A. D., Wesolowski, A., Bjørnstad, O. N. & Grenfell, B. T., 2019, In: PLoS computational biology. 15, 9, e1007305.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Quantifying spatio-temporal variation of invasion spread

Goldstein, J., Park, J., Haran, M., Liebhold, A. & Bjørnstad, O. N., Jan 16 2019, In: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 286, 1894, 2294.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Pastoral production is associated with increased peste des petits ruminants seroprevalence in northern Tanzania across sheep, goats and cattle

Herzog, C. M., de Glanville, W. A., Willett, B. J., Kibona, T. J., Cattadori, I. M., Kapur, V., Hudson, P. J., Buza, J., Cleaveland, S. & Bjørnstad, O. N., 2019, In: Epidemiology and Infection. 147, e242.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States

Kissler, S. M., Gog, J. R., Viboud, C., Charu, V., Bjørnstad, O. N., Simonsen, L. & Grenfell, B. T., Mar 2019, In: Epidemics. 26, p. 86-94 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue

Li, R., Xu, L., Bjørnstad, O. N., Liu, K., Song, T., Chen, A., Xu, B., Liu, Q. & Stenseth, N. C., Feb 26 2019, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 116, 9, p. 3624-3629 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review